READ THE RULES: This Presidential market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox, and NBC all call the election for the same candidate. In the unlikely event that doesn’t happen, the market will remain open until inauguration and resolve to whoever gets inaugurated.
If you would prefer to trade the market that is resolved solely by who gets inaugurated, set to happen on January 20, 2025, you can visit that market here.
Presidential Election Winner 2024
$3,686,335,059 Vol.
Donald Trump 99.8%
Kamala Harris <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Donald Trump
$1,531,479,285 Vol.
Yes
circle check
Joe Biden
$72,176,112 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Nikki Haley
$107,529,158 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Gavin Newsom
$54,161,276 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$141,605,111 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Ron DeSantis
$46,309,049 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Vivek Ramaswamy
$21,181,731 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Kamala Harris
$1,037,039,118 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Chris Christie
$14,192,736 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Elizabeth Warren
$14,714,814 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Bernie Sanders
$9,829,356 Vol.
No
circle xmark
AOC
$22,011,561 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Other Democrat Politician
$116,558,196 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Other Republican Politician
$241,655,100 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Kanye
$9,203,012 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Michelle Obama
$153,382,276 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Hillary Clinton
$93,307,168 Vol.
No
circle xmark
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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