How independent voters could upend the New Hampshire's Republican primary

It’s been a busy week for book promotion, so no Friday roundup this week. I’d like to take the opportunity instead to write about a brief note about something odd in the media’s polling of the New Hampshire primary.

In book news, check out my appearance on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the review in The Economist (“‘Party of the People'‘ a book by Patrick Ruffini, a Republican pollster and data maven, brilliantly dissects the changes within the disparate voting blocs in America, combining rich data analysis with vignettes from American history”), video of the book event at the AEI, and a conversation with Puck’s Tara Palmeri.

Party of the People is available on Amazon, Audible, and in all fine bookstores. If you’ve read the book—thank you—and please feel free to leave a review on these platforms and on Goodreads.

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In 2012, the last year without a competitive Democratic primary, less than a majority of those who voted in the New Hampshire Republican primary identified as Republ…