2022 hurricane season not over yet: NHC tracking two more disturbances

C. A. Bridges, Sarasota Herald-Tribune
·2 min read
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The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season may have gotten started late, but it's not over yet.

A week after Hurricane Ian devastated large parts of Florida and two weeks after Fiona savaged Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, both as catastrophic Category 4 storms, the National Hurricane Center is tracking two more developing disturbances, with one tropical wave following a track similar to Ian's.

That one, currently several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands, has disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity but may gradually develop over the next few days while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean Sea by midweek, according to the NHC.

Chances of further development are low for the next two days (20%) and the next five (30%), forecasters said.

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Tropical weather outlook for the Atlantic as of Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022.
Tropical weather outlook for the Atlantic as of Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022.

Fortunately, there is increased wind shear forecast to move into the Caribbean toward the middle of the month, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said, so the longer this system takes to enter Caribbean waters the lower the risk of tropical development.

Meanwhile, another system several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands has a much greater chance (70%) of becoming a tropical depression or stronger during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves westward. It's forecast to turn northwestward or northward toward the end of the week over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

The next named storms in the Atlantic will be called Julia and Karl. The Atlantic hurricane season runs until Nov. 30.

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Tropical forecast next five days

See the National Hurricane Center's five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.

C. A. Bridges is a Digital Producer for the USA TODAY Network, working with multiple newsrooms across Florida. Local journalists work hard to keep you informed about the things you care about, and you can support them by subscribing to your local news organization. Read more articles by Chris here and follow him on Twitter at @cabridges

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: After Ian and Fiona: National Hurricane Center tracks more disturbances