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Illinois

State Context

This scorecard analysis was conducted using the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) for Illinois, a peer-reviewed, open-source computer model based on public data that can estimate the impacts of climate and energy policies on emissions, cash flows, technology deployment, public health, and job creation. Anyone can use the powerful EPS tool to clarify a state’s path to climate alignment. Jump in today to explore the emissions, economic, and health impacts of clean energy policies for Illinois and other leading states.

Current emissions were calibrated to EPA’s inventory and may not align with state-specific assessments. Current policy progress was assessed using information in Climate Xchange’s State Climate Policy Tracker and supplemental desk research. Our modeling does not account for policies that are not yet fully implemented. This may include legislation that has been passed but is subject to rulemaking processes for full implementation. Notably, current policies will need to be robustly implemented and enforced to achieve the modeled impacts.

The scorecard targets are generated based on a “Nationally Determined Contribution” (NDC) national policy package applied to each state. The emissions targets are state-specific, based on the current distribution of emissions by sector. For example, states with lots of uneconomic coal to retire will have a steeper near-term target than states with a cleaner grid and higher industrial emissions. If all states reach the finish line, the US will achieve its national emissions goals (see methodology linked below for more detail).

These scorecards can help states and stakeholders identify which sectors and sub-sectors require additional attention to achieve climate targets.

Economy-Wide Sector

RMI modeling projects that Illinois's economy-wide sector emissions in 2030 will be 35% below 2005 levels based on current policies.

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Economy-Wide GHG Emissions (% to 2030 Goal)
(See Details)

2030 Goal 45% below 2005 emissions

Electricity Sector

RMI modeling projects that Illinois's electricity sector emissions in 2030 will be 83% below 2005 levels based on current policies.

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Electricity Sector GHG Emissions (% to 2030 Goal)
(See Details)

2030 Goal 85% below 2005 emissions

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Clean Electricity Generation (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 186.6 TWh/year

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Wind and Solar Capacity (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 34.4 GW

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Remaining Coal Generation Capacity (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 100% retired below 2021

Buildings Sector

RMI modeling projects that Illinois's buildings sector emissions in 2030 will be 4% below 2005 levels based on current policies.

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Buildings Sector GHG Emissions (% to 2030 Goal)
(See Details)

2030 Goal 29% below 2005 emissions

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Electric Appliance Sales (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 100% of total sales

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Building Gas Consumption (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 32% below 2021 consumption

Transportation Sector

RMI modeling projects that Illinois's transportation sector emissions in 2030 will be 22% below 2005 levels based on current policies.

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Transportation Sector GHG Emissions (% to 2030 Goal)
(See Details)

2030 Goal 27% below 2005 emissions

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Light Duty Electric Vehicle Sales (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 62.8% of new vehicle sales

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Light Duty Electric Vehicles on the Road (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 2.6 million vehicles

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Light Duty Vehicle Miles Traveled Reduction (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 139 billion miles

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Zero Emission Truck (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 54.4% of total sales

Industry Sector

RMI modeling projects that Illinois's industry sector emissions in 2030 will be 9% below 2005 levels based on current policies.

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Industrial Sector GHG Emissions (% to 2030 Goal)
(See Details)

2030 Goal 26% below 2005 emissions

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Oil and Gas Methane Abatement (% to 2030 Goal)

2030 Goal 77.9% below 2021 emissions

For more information

Current Policies

Explore the resources below to understand existing policy:

Potential Policy Solutions

Explore the resources below to identify and design potential policy solutions to the gaps identified in the scorecard: