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The China Fantasy: Why Capitalism Will Not Bring Democracy to China Paperback – January 29, 2008
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"[The China Fantasy] predicted, China would remain an authoritarian country, and its success would encourage other authoritarian regimes to resist pressures to change . . . Mann’s prediction turned out to be true." -New York Review of Books, October 2017
"From Clinton to Bush to Obama, the prevailing belief was engagement with China would make China more like the West. Instead, as [James] Mann predicted, China has gone in the opposite direction." -The New York Times, February 2018
One of our most perceptive China experts, James Mann wrote The China Fantasy as a vital wake-up call to all who are ignorant of America's true relationship with the Asian giant. For years, our leaders posited that China could be drawn to increasing liberalization through the power of the free market, but Mann asked us to consider a very real alternative: What if China's economy continues to expand but its government remains as dismissive of democracy and human rights as it is now?
Now the results are in: the reign of Xi Jinping has proven that Mann was right. To understand how China got to its current state and why it may not be too late to turn back, The China Fantasy is essential reading. Calling for an end to the current policy of overlooking China's abuses for the sake of business opportunities, Mann presents an alternative path to a better China.
- Print length160 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- Publication dateJanuary 29, 2008
- Dimensions7.76 x 5.08 x 0.37 inches
- ISBN-100143112929
- ISBN-13978-0143112921
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-Clay Chandler, editor, Fortune Asia
"Mr. Mann has perfectly described the blend of hope and cynicism that currently underpins American policy toward China."
-Gordon S. Chang, The New York Sun
About the Author
Product details
- Publisher : Penguin Publishing Group
- Publication date : January 29, 2008
- Edition : Reprint
- Language : English
- Print length : 160 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0143112929
- ISBN-13 : 978-0143112921
- Item Weight : 6 ounces
- Dimensions : 7.76 x 5.08 x 0.37 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #1,380,972 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #987 in Political Economy
- #1,403 in Democracy (Books)
- #1,671 in Economic Conditions (Books)
- Customer Reviews:
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Customers find the book insightful and persuasive, with one describing it as eye-opening. The book's readability receives positive feedback, with one customer noting it's a must-read for everyone. The pacing receives mixed reactions, with some finding it concise while others describe it as superficial.
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Customers find the book insightful and persuasive, with one customer describing it as eye-opening.
"...matter expertise have prepared him to present a concise and persuasive work on an important topic that should be widely read and discussed by policy..." Read more
"...In the end, an intriguing argument that awaits a better book. Best to find used or just read it in the library on a rainy day." Read more
"...eye to the human rights abuses in China, this short book is a great exploration of why, and all of the underlying logic by which they operate their..." Read more
"Dated but very informative. Would like to see a follow up of this book." Read more
Customers find the book readable, with one describing it as a must-read for anyone interested in the topic.
"...In the end, an intriguing argument that awaits a better book. Best to find used or just read it in the library on a rainy day." Read more
"...It is a must read for anybody with serious long-term interest in China. My quibble is Mann's simplistic usage of the term democracy...." Read more
"...A good book to see how we got to where we are today" Read more
"Mr. Mann is a good writer and I would suggest this book to all my friends. And consider this to be a good gift...." Read more
Customers have mixed opinions about the pacing of the book, with some finding it concise while others describe it as superficial.
"...ignores social dynamics in China, and when he does it's cursory and sloppy...." Read more
"...'s decades of subject matter expertise have prepared him to present a concise and persuasive work on an important topic that should be widely read..." Read more
"I find this book kind a superficial, not much new information. I expected it to be more in-depth researched." Read more
"...With the China Olympics coming, this book is a timely, concise (112 pages), anlaysis of why we should beware the myth that commerce will eventually..." Read more
Top reviews from the United States
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- Reviewed in the United States on April 23, 2007"The China Fantasy" by James Mann succeeds in thoroughly debunking the widely-held view that capitalism will inevitably bring democracy to China. Providing a brief historical account of U.S.-Chinese relations from the Nixon administration to the present, Mr. Mann makes clear that business opportunism has driven the agenda at the expense of human rights and democracy in both countries. Mr. Mann's decades of subject matter expertise have prepared him to present a concise and persuasive work on an important topic that should be widely read and discussed by policy makers and concerned citizens alike.
Mr. Mann's specific focus is on the public relations aspect of U.S.-Chinese relations. Mr. Mann contends that a succession of business-friendly politicians have sold the American public on what he calls the 'soothing scenario', or the prospect of a democracy that will somehow emerge as a result of China's deepening economic ties with the West. Mr. Mann explains that this rubric has provided cover for high-ranking U.S. officials who have often used their connections to smooth the way for multinational corporations to set up shop in China in order to exploit its abundant supply of cheap labor. However, Mr. Mann provides a number of counter arguments explaining why the soothing scenario is a highly problematic proposition, with perhaps the most persuasive point being that democracy could allow the masses of destitute Chinese peasants to easily undo the privileges that the relatively small Chinese upper and middle classes have enjoyed under the protection of the single-party system.
Mr. Mann alerts us to the importance of demanding China to enact democratic reforms sooner rather than later, when the Chinese economy might become too strong for outside influence to have any effect. Declining U.S. wages and plant closures caused by increased competition with repressed Chinese labor is but one well-known problem; the Chinese government's support of authoritarian regimes in other countries so that it can propagandize to its domestic audience is a lesser-known but perhaps more serious issue. While one would be hard pressed to detect a political bias in Mr. Mann's writing, the implicit lesson that capitalism can be wholly congruous with governmental repression serves to rebuke free-marketeers such as Thomas Friedman and provides grist for those who may be critical of globalization.
Interestingly, Mr. Mann makes a series of short-range predictions about how the media might frame its coverage of the 2008 Olympic games to be held in China. Mr. Mann believes that on the one hand, superficial news coverage will intend to pacify Western audiences while on the other hand, nationalistic themes will serve to paper over the reality of growing inequality on the Chinese mainland. The author also suspects that China will assuage the West with hints of reform that will probably never materialize while cynically parlaying its moment in the world spotlight to attract renewed rounds of investment.
I highly recommend this timely, insightful and important book to everyone.
- Reviewed in the United States on March 28, 2007The premise of this rather long essay has been presented before. However, the author does a good job in illustrating the influence of small interest groups on the policy of the United States. Perhaps low cost goods from China have increased the standard of living of US citizens. In the short term this may be true; however, in the longterm it is unlikely. Short term profit interests dictate China policy. Middle Class America is hollowed out. Folks need to consider spending a bit more but consuming a bit less and have that money stay within the local ecomony. I only need three pairs of jeans and not 8 if it keeps my neighbor's children in school and healthy.
China will not modify its behavior without the outside pressure of the US consumer. The Japanese have a term for it: gaihatsu. It worked. Toyota now manufactures a large number of the cars it sells in the United States. Same principles should apply to China.
I personally buy as few Chinese manufactured products as possible (this is not easy); but at least I try.
- Reviewed in the United States on October 7, 2024I am surprised by how accurate the author's analyses are
- Reviewed in the United States on April 8, 2007The middle-class angst over globalization (which is increasingly percieved to be a losing proposition) that politicians like Senator Jim Webb are riding into office will become a tidal wave if Mann's argument that the Chinese economy could thrive while the authoritarian political system remains largely the same bears out over time. Currently, the American public is not invited to ponder this possibility because between the doom and gloom prophets of Chinese empire or impending collapse and the utopian dreams of businessmen and politicians, no middle ground or "Third Option" can see the light of the day.
Mann manages to sketch out his thesis but fails to explore further, offering only limited detail and leading the average reader to conclusions that need to be debated and studied. Further, in describing the political ploys utilized by the utopian believers of a "just around the corner" Chinese democracy, he performs a great service but fails to follow through by offering much in the range of alternatives to bring the truth to the light of day.
In the end, an intriguing argument that awaits a better book. Best to find used or just read it in the library on a rainy day.
- Reviewed in the United States on December 26, 2013A must-read for anybody who has an interest in international affairs, especially the bilateral relationship between the United States and China. If you've ever wondered why US politicians seem to turn a blind eye to the human rights abuses in China, this short book is a great exploration of why, and all of the underlying logic by which they operate their agenda of rights-blindness.
- Reviewed in the United States on October 19, 2014The observations made in this 2007 book are even more relevant in today's China. By all appearances, China is in fact not moving towards democracy, even as its economy has advanced and its wealth greatly increased. I particularly appreciate the point that the growing urban middle class is not receptive to democracy because they are simply outnumbered by the huge ranks of rural poor, and would stand to lose their privileges in any nationwide free elections. Therefore the Starbucks-sipping urban elite, far from demanding political reform, are becoming a new base of support for the regime. I've lived in China 3+ years and find most of Mann's points to be spot on - highly recommended.
Top reviews from other countries
- K-NineReviewed in Japan on May 30, 2007
5.0 out of 5 stars More focus attention on human rights in China
James Mann, author of "The China Fantasy," is challenging the Soothing Scenario, a false assumption that as far as China's economy continues to grow, its one-party regime is being inevitably changed. With the second or what is called the Upheaval Scenario, he now claims the Third Scenario that the communist regime remains in control, while the economy continually grows. I am, in the end, convinced that America's pivotal role in the world to liberalize the repressed should be more debated, as the author devoutly asserts. America's efforts to bring about freedom and democracy in the Middle East have now failed, though.
- George BReviewed in the United Kingdom on February 15, 2010
2.0 out of 5 stars Pretty Insubstantial Book
"The China Fantasy" provided quite a memorable and, in places, witty statement of the reality that China is not naturally heading towards a western political model, as some suppose it ought to be. However, the book is short on examples or any first-hand reportage about China and mostly reads like a sophomoric debate transcript. Loads and loads of opinion, virtually no new facts or investigation. If you know anything about China, especially if you've lived there, this book will not tell you anything that isn't obvious. The author basically rants away pointing out the cliches of China journalism in the USA, and, shock horror, not everything you read in the newspaper is a true reflection of how things are on the ground in China! But Mann does not really predict any details of an alternative future for China... nor indeed a realistic picture of how the USA would deal with different future scenarios.
What is lacking here:
* Examination of WHY China gets misrepresented. The author seems to assume it is mostly ignorance on the part of US pundits, whereas of course in the political arena there is a lot of deliberate obfuscation and everyone has a reason for their angle. Deeper examination of who is part of the dissimulation, and to what extent it is a conspiracy of spin, or just everyone picking the most convenient angle, would be interesting from a political point of view.
* A historical narrative. The diplomacy of the 70s is referred to but without any depth of discussion about the intricacies of the Nixon/China visit and seemingly little awareness of recent revelations about the Chinese point of view at that time [see Mao: The Untold Story]
* Actual examples of US opinion. Few verbatim quotes from newspaper or media. No words from original sources like politicians or policy makers.
* A cogent argument for why America should actually care about China and especially vice versa.
* Any opinion or research from inside China. duh. Yup, it's a book about how armchair commentators get it wrong about China... written by an armchair commentator. The author seems to have been unwilling to go to China and find out what the realities are. In one list Mann ridicules media images of "outdoor exercise [and] ...smiling peasants" as thoughtless Western cliches depicting a "bygone era" of China... whereas any casual China tourist could tell you that both of those things are very much a part of normal China life and will continue to be for a long time.
Finally, it is out of date, as all China books usually are of course, but it was a bit short sighted of the author to talk about the Beijing Olympics, making gloomy predictions about propaganda just a year or two before they happened, dooming that particular chapter to irrelevance for all time.